Context

Beginning and middle:  Life during COVID Analysis
Endgame:  💉︎ Vaccination

Historical context

Context

Hope you are well.  97+% of us will get through the current ⚕︎ COVID-19 coronavirus disease pandemic emergency of 2019-202x.  For some perspective, life is way better today than in the year , , , and especially the year . the year .

Don't be scared.  All of this is new to you, and new can be scary.

    — #DoctorWho 13 premier.

Analysis

To inform my actions above, and because I live in the 🇺🇸 USA, I could periodically check:
Dashboard for how your state[?] or county[?] is doing,   and another from 🇺🇸 USA CDC.   Help from trained staff (some jurisdictions).  📱︎☎ 211   COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool MI Safe Start:  A Plan to Reengage Michigan's Economy  Adobe Acrobat Reader file
Data geeks only:  I go beyond that, and periodically check COVID-19:

  • Death rate graphs in my county , those of relatives and friends, and other areas of interest, by:
      Launching COVID Act Now > section "Cases, Deaths, and Hospitalizations" > check "Normalize Data Per 100k population" > add relevant counties , and delete them when the graph gets too cluttered.

  • Death rate numbers in my county , those of relatives and friends, and other areas of interest, by:
      Launching Track COVID-19 data daily by state[?] and county[?], > section Download Data > button Deaths.
      Put this data into my analysis spreadsheet worksheet "date_​covid_​deaths_​usafacts".
      Calculate the death rates by population by combining with population data from each county > calculate > Filter on states or counties (or their equivalents) for 👤︎ yourself, 👥︎ relatives and friends, and other areas of interest > turn cells various colors based on conditions > etc.

  • Death rates in zip codes within my county, for zip codes of relatives and friends, and other areas of interest (actually, I would prefer death rate numbers, but my county doesn't provide that, so I have to settle for case rate numbers), by:
      Get zip code info from my county > page=2 pane=lower-left, select each line > right-click Copy Selection.
      Paste this data into my analysis spreadsheet worksheet "date_myCounty​Cases​By​Zipcode".
      Combine death case info with zip code population data from other source > calculate > sort > Filter and your zips of interest > etc.

  • Rant for a while about how, when our society is doing all this COVID testing, why does there seem to be no Surveillance Testing?
      Why do I have to do all this work, just to get some vague idea of the prevalence of COVID in my area, so I can decide what level of precautions to take to go to Costco and the grocery store?  Or to decide whether to stretch out this run a few more days?  Or whether to meet my daughter for a half-hour outside-outside in the cold, or sorta outside in outdoor pavilion with a roof and two walls?
      Or more to the point (since I am a tech and data geek, and kinda like this analysis), what are ordinary people supposed to do?
      Why can't I, and ordinary people, just look this up on one of the websites above?
      OK, calm down, ☀︎🚶︎🏠︎ go outdoors and do something physical, and …

Practice random [acts of] kindness, and senseless acts of beauty.

    —  Anne Herbert.

The philosophy behind science is to discover truth.
The philosophy behind medicine is to use that truth for the benefit of each of your patients.
The philosophy behind public health is to use that truth for the benefit of everyone.
The philosophy behind using that truth for everyone is social justice.

    — William Foege, former CDC director, slightly reworded by me.

Historical context

In the 🇺🇸 USA, in the absence of federal guidance, every state or other jurisdiction is handling 💉︎ vaccination differently.  In late 2020 and early 2021, this process was so disorganized, it felt like us vaccine-seekers were participants in ♐︎ The Hunger Games.

Unlike a real immunization effort in -, where our society immunized:

  • 84%  of the entire population [versus 28 - 35% so far in this immunization effort], with
  • 3 doses given to each person [versus 1-2 doses in this immunization effort],     in only
  • 6 days, spread over 3 months [versus 123 days, spread over 4 months so far in this immunization effort]!  [2] [3]
And in that operation, no one had to drive across the county to a stadium — they did it in high school gyms.  Everyone can get to their nearest high school.  OK, if the vaccine-athon can travel to high schools, it can also travel to hospitals and Long-Term Care Facilities LTCFs , to handle their specialized populations.  But why, this time around, do we have to reinvent every wheel, and do such a bad job of it?

OK, Public Health officials in 1963 had several advantages that we don't have this time around.  Still, their process was the exact opposite of what we are doing now.

More applicable to today's situation is smallpox;  like COVID, it requires an injection.  Anthony Fauci has a great story about New York City immunizing 5 million New Yorkers in a single week! [citation needed]

Fortunately, in recent months, we are getting more organized.

image of White House memo on COVID-19 pandemic, select to read it image of White House playbook for infectious disease threats, select to read it
Yes, we really did know all this!

Above or to left, view White House memo from , White House Playbook from , and videos from and .

For full effect, select a video image, then icons  fullscreen,  captions, ▶︎ Play, and ⏯︎ ☒ Skip Ads.

image of graphic novel Germ Warfare: A Very Graphic History by Max Brooks, select to hear audio or see video or read
"'All Of This Panic Could Have Been Prevented':
 Author Max Brooks On COVID-19."
 Fresh Air with Terry Gross.  NPR.  .
which mentions "Germ Warfare:  A Very Graphic History."
 Max Brooks.  April 2019.
> play audio, play video, or button FREE Download for Graphic Novel.Adobe Acrobat Reader file 

There is a theory which states that if ever anyone discovers exactly what the Universe is for and why it is here,
it will instantly disappear and be replaced by something even more bizarre and inexplicable.

There is another theory which states that this has already happened.


    —  Douglas Adams, The Restaurant at the End of the Universe.


For full effect, view the video above or to left by selecting the video image/link button, then icons  fullscreen,  captions , ▶︎ Play, and ⏯︎ ☒ Skip Ads. Trailer.

References

[2]  Yes, my sister and I remember — we were there!  Personal communication, various dates, including .

[3]  "Cuyahoga County had best record in the nation for Sabin polio vaccine distribution".  Cleveland.com.  .   Accessed .